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#1017407 - 08/12/08 02:33 AM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
Hated By Some
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Power Poster
Joined: May 2005
Posts: 8,487
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Everyone knows that when banks tighten up on credit, they are bad because they are denying access to the American Dream. And when they loosen up credit, they are bad because they are leading the innocent down the primrose path to bankruptcy and foreclosure. It's the cross we must bear, I suppose.
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#1017420 - 08/12/08 10:20 AM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
buggs
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under the Lone Star
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"another nail in the coffin of consumers" - goodnight, is there some consititution right to a loan?
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Societies that do not find work in and of itself "pleasing to God and requisite to Man," tend to be highly corrupt.
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#1017476 - 08/12/08 11:42 AM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
Hrothgar Geiger
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Turnpike Exit 10
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From ABA newsbytes:
Fed Survey Finds Banks Still Tightening Lending Standards The percentage of banks tightening lending standards during the past three months rose across the various loan categories, according to the Federal Reserve's July survey of senior loan officers released yesterday. About 75 percent of the 52 U.S. banks surveyed indicated they had tightened their lending standards for prime mortgages. That was up from about 60 percent in the April survey.
Of the 32 banks that said they were still originating nontraditional home mortgages, about 85 percent said they had tightened their lending standards, up from 75 percent in the previous survey
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Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please. - Mark Twain
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#1017540 - 08/12/08 12:58 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
Retired DQ
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Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 5,349
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OK? No one is denying that banking is not conservative. If they were not, why would they have underwriters?
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If your tagline references disclaimers regarding the nature of political posts, then you should just hit notify.
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#1017594 - 08/12/08 01:30 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
Hrothgar Geiger
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Joined: May 2005
Posts: 8,487
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Hey Bugs, is that Mick Ronson (his guitar set to 'stun')? Yes! I was hoping somebody would notice.
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#1017667 - 08/12/08 02:13 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
Pale Rider
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"another nail in the coffin of consumers" - goodnight, is there some consititution right to a loan?
the banks can afford to lend cheaply and prolifically right now. they aren't. they learned some hard lessons (which is why i laughed at shemp) and they still aren't lending. i posted this as an economic issue, not a consumer rights issue, huge pale.
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#1017754 - 08/12/08 02:59 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
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you are being silly Ronny!!
there are many reasons for not lending right now, including capital allocation, risks, liquidity
you name it we have the issues!
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Societies that do not find work in and of itself "pleasing to God and requisite to Man," tend to be highly corrupt.
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#1017774 - 08/12/08 03:10 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
Pale Rider
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Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,649
The Land of Tax Free Shopping!
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Don't forget inflation. Based on the published inflation figures, inflation is running at 5.5%. Deposit interest rates should be nearer to 6% than 2% annually. If you use inflation stats and calculations from the 1970s and early 80s, inflation is running nearer to 12%. Remember that when you get your 2-3% raise in February.
I'd hunker down and cut costs where you can - we're not out of the woods yet.
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#1017822 - 08/12/08 03:34 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
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not doing business is not what is taking place. Placing tougher standards to do business is what is taking place, and as Pale pointed out, other considerations such as ALCO concerns and liquidity risk managment enter into the picture.
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#1017830 - 08/12/08 03:39 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
TheManofSteel
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Placing tougher standards they are way past this. they needed to correct standards to where they should have been, not blow past it. i already mentioned how alco and liquidity are involved so please address those points if you disagree with them.
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#1017845 - 08/12/08 03:46 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
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i already mentioned how alco and liquidity are involved so please address those points if you disagree with them.
Your response to Pale did not really address it. With all of the defaulted loans, regulators may be requiring greater LLRs, and although it has been many years since I worked on these, I seem to remember that this comes out of earnings or capital (Sox in '07 or Pale could probably confirm or refute this). If banks are increasing their LLR, then their bottom lines are hit, so they also likely have to increase the Tier 1 and/or Tier 2 Capital Reserves. This is going to cause banks to be even more restrictive in lending standards so as not to increase the likelihood that they will have to write-off more bad debts.
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"Beneath an ever watchful eye...the angels of the temple fly"
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#1017873 - 08/12/08 04:04 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
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Fortress of Solitude
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While this is only one piece to banks' earnings and the ability to lend further, fromt he article David Wyss points this out:
David Wyss, chief economist for Standard & Poor's in New York, said the tighter lending standards reflect the huge loan losses that banks have already suffered. Those losses have depleted the capital they need as reserves against future losses and made it more difficult for the banks to sell their mortgages and other loans as asset-backed securities, a process that provides them with money to make new loans.
It seems to me that this is a temporary Catch-22 that the banks are in regardless of the sentiment that more loans are needed to generate longer-term income.
If they do not have the money to make the new loans as readily as they did in the past, then expect fewer and higher priced mortgages, which is what we are seeing.
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"Beneath an ever watchful eye...the angels of the temple fly"
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#1017887 - 08/12/08 04:17 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
Hated By Some
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Fortress of Solitude
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I highlighted the point that they cannot package asset-backed securities for sale in the secondary market as a source of income to make new loans, because the assets used in the asset-backed security packages must be used to cover LLRs and risk-based capital cushions. It is not a choice the banks can make, because they have to keep LLRs and Capital Cushions up to snuff with regulatory requirements.
If capital gets too low, then the Regulators can hit them with a PCA, and to my memory, that in turn affects a sleu of other concerns for the bank.
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"Beneath an ever watchful eye...the angels of the temple fly"
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#1017895 - 08/12/08 04:23 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
Hated By Some
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Power Poster
Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 9,121
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man, i don't know how financial institutions and risk management can be used in the same sentiment after this bubble. now we should trust their over-conservatism? hardly. the contagion was in the economic forecasting and "underwriting" that went on. those have more than corrected but the industry still hasn't reflected the correction. fwiw, i am not surprised. it was more of a jab at shifting orthodoxy of the confirmed conservative bankers. just the economic prowess and intuition that our economy needs. Ron's knowledge knows no bounds. Can anyone even complile the list of whom Ron is better than? Add bankers to it folks. Of course, just a few months ago, Ron argued that bankers caused this by being too loose, now, they are being too tight. I think we should all send our loan apps to Ron so he can show us exactly where that "just right" spot is. For what its worth, my institution has closed more mortgages this year than last year, despite rising charge offs and provision costs. But Ron would say we are being too loose. Classic stuff ronno.
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#1017904 - 08/12/08 04:29 PM
Re: Over-Conservative Bankers a Legitimate Fact?
straw
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Ron argued that bankers caused this by being too loose, now, they are being too tight. that is exactly right and is why i said "fwiw, i am not surprised. it was more of a jab at shifting orthodoxy of the confirmed conservative bankers. just the economic prowess and intuition that our economy needs." and i would say that your bank and many others are probably doing just fine and are likely underpriced/potential targets much like dip's bank is. the state of the economy says that you are in the minority though.
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