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#2290813 - 11/16/23 04:54 PM The CFP nightmare scenario
raitchjay Offline
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Been a while since we've talked any college football, so i thought i'd throw this nightmare scenario for the College Football Playoff committee out there:

Washington runs the table and finishes as the 13-0 Pac 12 champ. (Will be tough, but definitely possible.)

Florida State runs the table and finishes as the 13-0 ACC champ. (Highly likely..)

Michigan (or Ohio State, take your pick) runs the table and finishes as the 13-0 Big 10 champ. (Highly likely that the winner of the OSU-Michigan game finishes the year unbeaten.)

Texas runs the table and finishes as the 12-1 Big 12 champ. (No worse odds than a coin flip; Texas will be favored in every game it has left on the schedule, including the Big 12 title game if they get there.)

Alabama beats Georgia in the SEC championship game. Alabama is the 12-1 SEC champ, but lost to Texas. Georgia finishes 12-1, but is not the SEC champ, and lost to Alabama (who lost to Texas).

Who are the committee's 4 playoff teams? And does the SEC get left out? (Gasp, the horror.)
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#2290814 - 11/16/23 05:03 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
rlcarey Offline
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I originally read this to read "The CFPB nightmare scenario" before I realized in what forum this was posted and thought "good god" what did they do now.
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#2290815 - 11/16/23 05:22 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario rlcarey
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Originally Posted by rlcarey
I originally read this to read "The CFPB nightmare scenario" before I realized in what forum this was posted and thought "good god" what did they do now.

Same! crazy
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#2290816 - 11/16/23 05:28 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
raitchjay Offline
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Ha!
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#2290853 - 11/16/23 08:10 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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Me too! I thought maybe the Court had leaked something about their CFPB funding decision.

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#2290894 - 11/20/23 03:21 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
St. Matthew Offline
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LOL. What does it say about them when we all immediately think the same thing?

As for the football thing, I hope it all blows up just like you said. It would make a great case for a 8+ team playoff.

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#2290895 - 11/20/23 03:50 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
raitchjay Offline
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The 12 team playoff begins next year.
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#2290896 - 11/20/23 04:34 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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In that scenario, I think it will be the 3 unbeatens and the SEC champ. SEC will be included over the BIG 12 champ due to strength of schedule and a bias towards the SEC.
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#2290899 - 11/20/23 04:47 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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I agree that that's what they'll do, and i agree it's because of a bias towards the SEC. "Strength of schedule" is highly subjective. Everyone seems to be forgetting all the non-conference losses by the SEC earlier in the year, which evidently means nothing now.
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#2290903 - 11/20/23 06:50 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
rainman Offline
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Like others, I originally read this as "CFPB." But that's your nightmare scenario right there: CFPB decides that CFP rankings are "unfair" and initiates enforcement action.

Of course they don't have the authority. But when has that stopped them before? smile
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#2290904 - 11/20/23 07:01 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario rainman
raitchjay Offline
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Originally Posted by rainman
Like others, I originally read this as "CFPB." But that's your nightmare scenario right there: CFPB decides that CFP rankings are "unfair" and initiates enforcement action.

Of course they don't have the authority. But when has that stopped them before? smile

laugh
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#2291066 - 11/28/23 01:57 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
HappyGilmore Offline
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Pulling people out of the ditc...
Originally Posted by raitchjay
And does the SEC get left out? (Gasp, the horror.)

that's some funny stuff right there. Everyone knows thet SEC has a unwritten contract with NCAA that guarantees them no less than 1 slot in the final playoff brackets.
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#2291075 - 11/28/23 03:12 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
raitchjay Offline
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True dat.
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#2291132 - 11/28/23 08:22 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
burkemi Offline
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In your scenario, I think this would be another year with two SEC teams. Bama and Georgia will both receive an invite. Michigan will get spot three. The fourth, if both Wash and FSU finish unbeaten, will pretty much come down to their strengths of schedule and a look at who is highest rated overall at the time.

The SEC champ is practically guaranteed a spot. So if Bama wins, they're in. With Georgia being practically unbeatable over the last couple of years, not inviting them would cause mass hysteria in the media. So, both 1-loss SEC teams would "outrank" the 12-1 Big 12 champ.

I seriously cannot wait for the 12 team playoff.
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#2291134 - 11/28/23 08:25 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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Burkemi, good to talk to you again, but i think it's crazy talk to suggest that if Washington, Florida State, and Michigan are unbeaten, that somehow the 4 teams in are going to include Georgia AND Alabama if Bama wins. So you think in my scenario, unbeaten Florida State and 1-loss Texas (who beat Bama, who would have beaten Georgia) would sit at home while BOTH Bama and Georgia got in????
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#2291135 - 11/28/23 08:27 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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Personally, i would welcome "mass hysteria in the media"........because that means ESPN, and ESPN has caused all of this stupidity.
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#2291138 - 11/28/23 08:52 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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Hi raitch! Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that's way I think SHOULD happen, just saying I'm betting that's the way it WILL happen.

If you'll remember in the big conversation from a few years ago, I've always been in favor of a 12-team playoff. That will prevent this from happening and give the Boise States of the NCAA world a fair shot.
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#2291139 - 11/28/23 08:54 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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But - I think it's a moot point anyway. Bama can't keep up with Georgia. Georgia will finish unbeaten.....at 15-0.
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#2291140 - 11/28/23 08:58 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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Georgia ain't winning it all. Mark my words. (However, i do agree they'll beat--maybe even smoke--Bama.) But my money's on Michigan or Oregon.
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#2291141 - 11/28/23 09:04 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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I actually think it would be hilarious if Texas makes the playoff and wins it all.....then next year they join the SEC as the national champ and the only team that beat the national champ. smile
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#2291142 - 11/28/23 09:05 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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I actually hope you're right about GA. I hope they don't!!!!

But back to your original question - If that occurs, there's no scenario that Texas gets in. The only other option that will occur is a 12-1 SEC champ and 3 unbeatens. Like it, love it, hate it, or somewhere in between - as is the perpetual thorn in your side, a like-record SEC champ will outrank a like-record Big 12 champ. Especially given that the loss occurred super early in the season.
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#2291144 - 11/28/23 09:07 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
burkemi Offline
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Or how's this....

Bama
Georgia
Texas
and only 1 unbeaten??????

That would really ruffle some feathers! Hahahahah
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#2291146 - 11/28/23 09:10 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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Even some of the talking heads at ESPN are saying that Texas' win over Bama will put Texas in over Bama...i'm not saying that's guaranteed, cuz who knows what 12 dudes and dudettes will do, but i think your statement that "there's no scenario that Texas gets in" is out there. I think the hysteria will occur if Texas wins, Bama wins, and Texas DOESN'T get in, but Bama does. Texas isn't TCU or Baylor.....they're a brand too, and there will be a major backlash if they don't get in in that scenario.
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#2291147 - 11/28/23 09:12 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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And i love (not really) your "super early in the season" disclaimer.....so very SEC of you. smile Seriously though, i hear that in the media now.....like that means nothing. Early in the season, late in the season, middle of the season....i don't get it. A loss is a loss.
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#2291149 - 11/28/23 09:13 PM Re: The CFP nightmare scenario raitchjay
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Out of conference losses in the SEC will NEVER be late in the season, cuz every SEC school is fighting to schedule The Citadel in November.
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