i guess what i was getting at was that options pricing usually reflects predictions of what the market will do and thus protecting against bad is going to cost you.
right, so then the point is: can you get your insurance for a cheaper rate than the premium that you are seeking to maintain while accounting for other pressures affecting the present value of that premium?
or could it be that you misunderstood my argument, j? i wasn't trying to be confusing. i certainly haven't changed my initial point. perhaps i was unclear.