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#956012 - 05/08/08 03:32 PM
Current Political Race Analysis
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10K Club
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 34,318
under the Lone Star
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OK, you must consider the source of the following, it is one of the two Masters of Chaos, (Rove of Rove and Limbaugh), but a concise analysis as of today:
"My analysis of individual state polls shows that today Mr. McCain would win 241 Electoral College votes to Mr. Obama's 217, with 80 votes in toss-up states where neither candidate has more than a 3% lead. Ironically, Mrs. Clinton now leads Mr. McCain with 251 electoral votes to his 203 with 84 in toss-up states. This is the first time she's led Mr. McCain since I began tracking state-by-state results in early March.
Mr. McCain is realistic enough to know he will fall behind Mr. Obama once the Democratic nomination is settled. He's steeled himself and his team for that moment. And he's comforted by a belief that there will be plenty of time to recapture the lead. Mr. McCain saw Gerald Ford come from 30 points down to lose narrowly to Jimmy Carter in 1976, and watched George H.W. Bush overcome a 17-point deficit in the summer to hammer Michael Dukakis in the fall of 1988.
- The battlegrounds will look familiar. It will be the industrial heartland from Pennsylvania to Wisconsin, minus Indiana (Republican) and Illinois (Democrat); the western edge of the Midwest from Minnesota south to Missouri; Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada in the Rocky Mountains; Florida; and New Hampshire.
Mr. Obama will argue he puts Virginia and North Carolina into play (doubtful), and may make an attempt at winning one or two of Nebraska's electoral votes (it awards its electoral votes by congressional district). Mr. McCain will say he can put New Jersey and Delaware and part of Maine (it splits its vote like Nebraska) in play. But it's doubtful he'll win in Oregon or Washington State, although he believes he can.
- Almost everything we think we know right now will be revised and even overturned during the next six months. This has been a race in which conventional wisdom has often been proven wrong. The improbable or thought-to-be impossible has happened with regularity. It has created a boom market for punditry and opinion offering, and one of the grandest possible spectacles for political junkies in decades. Hold on to your hat. It's going to be one heck of a ride through Nov. 4."
this is a snipet of a WSJ Online article, ya I know, that rag that was taken over by evil Murdoch!
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#956023 - 05/08/08 03:42 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
kitten
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 34,318
under the Lone Star
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my pleasure kitty
sorry I stir the pot sometimes, just trying to keep up with the Jones'
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Societies that do not find work in and of itself "pleasing to God and requisite to Man," tend to be highly corrupt.
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#956027 - 05/08/08 03:44 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Pale Rider
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 3,455
The Pennant Race
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If I were Senator McCain, I would be pretty happy with that analysis right now. Hillary is all but dead. He will have a decent shot against Obama.
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#956118 - 05/08/08 05:31 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
redsfan
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Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 6,436
God Bless America
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You have got to be kidding me, half of this thread got deleted?
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#956120 - 05/08/08 05:32 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
kms
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Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 5,349
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After Neo starts accusing others of whining it gets deleted? Wow, that guy never ceases to amaze me. His level of cowardace is unprecidented.
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#956125 - 05/08/08 05:39 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Sound Tactic
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Joined: Oct 2006
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#956127 - 05/08/08 05:40 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Sound Tactic
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Power Poster
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,624
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After Neo starts accusing others of whining it gets deleted? Wow, that guy never ceases to amaze me. His level of cowardace is unprecidented. Hey. Chill. I've been out of the office for a couple hours now. I had nothing to do with it. By the way, it is "unprecendeted".
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#956131 - 05/08/08 05:43 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Sound Tactic
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Power Poster
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,228
Cincinnati, OH
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After Neo starts accusing others of whining it gets deleted? Wow, that guy never ceases to amaze me. His level of cowardace is unprecidented. Yet kitten's whining about people wanting to talk about politics, in a Presidential election year is acceptable? Next we won't be allowed to talk about the cicadas during this year's brood XIV year.
Last edited by Bengalsfan; 05/08/08 05:46 PM.
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#956133 - 05/08/08 05:45 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Imagine
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Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,228
Cincinnati, OH
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By the way, it is "unprecendeted". When correcting someone's spelling, I recommend checking yours first!
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#956135 - 05/08/08 05:46 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
B_F
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Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 6,436
God Bless America
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I don't know what got all of that deleted but it is BS. Gonna start being like the kid that cried wolf.
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#956136 - 05/08/08 05:47 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
B_F
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Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 6,559
Foxboro
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By the way, it is "unprecendeted". When correcting someone's spelling, I recommend checking yours first! Point, BF
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#956138 - 05/08/08 05:48 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
kms
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Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,228
Cincinnati, OH
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I don't know what got all of that deleted but it is BS. Gonna start being like the kid that cried wolf. Political correctness gone amuck.
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#956139 - 05/08/08 05:49 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
B_F
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Power Poster
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,624
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By the way, it is "unprecendeted". When correcting someone's spelling, I recommend checking yours first! OH CRUD! LOLoad.
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#956142 - 05/08/08 05:52 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Imagine
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Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 5,349
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Hmmm since it appears that Neo does not have me on ignore I will ask him for the fourth time. About six months ago you accused me of something. I have asked four times for you to come up with proof. To this day, you have not been able to do so, even though you have all the tools available to do so.
In two of the times I requested this proof you cried to your favorite mod and had the thread deleted. Man up. Find the proof.
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If your tagline references disclaimers regarding the nature of political posts, then you should just hit notify.
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#956148 - 05/08/08 05:59 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Sound Tactic
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10K Club
Joined: Jul 2003
Posts: 17,400
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A word of caution.... While it was not me that deleted this time (personally I would have let you duke it out) this bickering is getting on some mods nerves. Ya' don't want to be forcing somebody to cancel this particular recess in total, do you? So knock off the nonsense or take it to a pm, ok? We now return you to the playground.
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#956152 - 05/08/08 06:04 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
B_F
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10K Club
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 12,579
Not prison
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Yet kitten's whining about people wanting to talk about politics, in a Presidential election year is acceptable?
Next we won't be allowed to talk about the cicadas during this year's brood XIV year.
in my own defense, i don't believe my post was a whine, nor was it intended to be. perhaps i should have use a instead of a . i was just having a little fun with pale. i do read the political threads at times and usually end up learning something (albeit after wading thru all the muck and mud-slinging). and, neo, even though you have me on ignore, and the post was deleted, for you of all people to tell me to quit whining??? that made my day.
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#956162 - 05/08/08 06:19 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
kitten
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Diamond Poster
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,121
Wherever the plane lands
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Well, once again it probably got deleted because I accused Neo of being the pot and calling the kettle black.
Yet the instance where he said it to KMS still didn't get deleted. Go figure!
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#956187 - 05/08/08 06:43 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Bimmer
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Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 6,436
God Bless America
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Don't worry about it Bimmer, people call me a lot of names and it doesn't get deleted. Thank god for tough skinand the ability to realize this is just the internet not real life, for me anyways.
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#956192 - 05/08/08 06:44 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Truffle Royale
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Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,624
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A word of caution.... While it was not me that deleted this time (personally I would have let you duke it out) this bickering is getting on some mods nerves. Ya' don't want to be forcing somebody to cancel this particular recess in total, do you? So knock off the nonsense or take it to a pm, ok? We now return you to the playground. TR, to be fair and honest here, I do not wish to "duke it out" with anyone. But people whine, complain, and attack on a consistant basis. I am guilty of that at times. No one is completely innocent. I do not know why 1/2 the thread was canned, but I do know that certain groups of posters do find it, shall we say, amusing to disrupt threads. As I said originally, no one is forcing anyone to read any of the threads here. So there is no need to come into a thread and complain about it. You chose to come in. As far as the "name calling", some DO get away with it more than others. But, that is life and we should all accept it.
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#956252 - 05/08/08 08:01 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis *DELETED*
Imagine
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Power Poster
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 3,455
The Pennant Race
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Post deleted by redsfan
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The opinions expressed here are personal and do not represent opinions of my employer.
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#956260 - 05/08/08 08:10 PM
Re: Current Political Race Analysis
Imagine
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Diamond Poster
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,121
Wherever the plane lands
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I can't do anything right! We already knew that!
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My silence doesn't mean that I agree with you. It's just that your level of ignorance has rendered me speechless.
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