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Credit apps recover from pre-COVID levels

The CFPB yesterday reported it has published an issue brief showing that consumer applications for auto loans, new mortgages and revolving credit cards had mostly returned to pre-pandemic levels by May 2021.

Prime and near-prime consumers are driving this recovery as applications remain down from borrowers with subprime and deep subprime for all types of credit and, for borrowers with superprime credit scores, applications are down for all types of credit but mortgages. The report also provides a state-by-state analysis of the change in credit applications for auto loans, new mortgages, and revolving credit cards and shows wide geographic variability in the demand for auto loans. Key findings in the brief include:

  • Auto loan inquiries saw a drop of 52 percent by the end of March 2020 and returned to their usual pre-pandemic trend by January 2021.
  • New mortgage credit inquiries saw a smaller drop in March 2020 compared to other types of inquiries and then surged. Subsequently, inquiries have exceeded their usual, seasonally adjusted volume by 10 to 30 percent, reflecting the unusually high activity in the mortgage market throughout the pandemic.
  • Revolving credit card inquiries took the longest to recover from the initial March 2020 decline, until March 2021, when the level of these inquiries reached back to their usual levels.
  • Consumers with deep subprime credit scores showed the largest decline in auto loan inquiries compared to prior years, followed by inquiries from consumers with subprime credit scores. These consumers also showed declines in new mortgage and revolving credit card inquiries.
  • Changes in auto loan and new mortgage applications were quite varied across the states while changes in credit card applications were generally uniform.
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